Weekly Market Update 09 November 2018

Weekly Market Update 09 November 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets mostly rose over the last week, helped in particular by a favourable reaction to the US midterm elections. Chinese shares remained under pressure though. Bond yields continued to rise reflecting the “risk on” tone from investors and as the Fed showed no signs of pausing its rate hikes. Commodity prices were mixed though with oil falling further and metal …

Weekly Market Update 02 November 2018

Weekly Market Update 02 November 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets bounced back over the past week helped by good US earnings results and a lessening of trade war fears following comments from President Trump after a phone call with President Xi Jinping. Reflecting the risk on tone bond yields generally rose, but while the iron ore price rose oil and metal prices fell. The risk on tone also …

Weekly Market Update 26 October 2018

Weekly Market Update 26 October 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Most major share markets fell over the past week as worries about the global outlook continue. Chinese shares rose though thanks to stimulus measures. Bond yields fell on safe haven demand and while iron ore prices rose, oil and metals fell. The $US rose and this weighed on the $A. The share market correction continues with increasing concerns about global growth. From …

The pullback in shares – 7 things investors need to keep in mind

The pullback in shares – 7 things investors need to keep in mind Key points   The current pullback in shares has been triggered by a range of things – but most notably worries about rising US interest rates and the US/China conflict.    Shares may still have more downside, but we are of the view that it’s just another correction.   Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are normal; in …

Weekly Market Update 19 October 2018

        Weekly Market Update 19 October 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While share markets had a great bounce from oversold levels early in the last week they fell back to varying degrees as worries around US interest rates, the US trade conflict with China, tech stocks and Italy’s budget deficit continued along with escalating tensions with Saudi Arabia regarding a missing journalist. This left share markets mixed with …

Boom turns to bust – falling Australian home prices.

Boom turns to bust – falling Australian home prices. How far and for how long and what’s the impact on the economy? Key points Property prices in Sydney and Melbourne are likely to see top to bottom falls of around 20% as credit conditions tighten, supply rises and a negative feedback loop from falling prices risks developing.   Other cities will perform better having not seen the boom of the last few years.   Property …

Weekly Market Update 12 October 2018

Weekly Market Update 12 October 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets fell sharply over the last week led by the US share market primarily on the back of worries about rising interest rates and bond yields and the deteriorating US/China relationship. Bond yields generally declined though reflecting safe haven demand which also benefited the gold price. Iron ore prices rose which is good for Australia, but the oil price …

Outlook for the Australian economy

Outlook for the Australian economy   Investors might have noted some recent positives in the Australian economy. June quarter GDP growth of 3.4% was above potential and its fastest rate since 2012. We have also seen pretty good jobs numbers, with the unemployment rate trending down and sitting at a six-year low of 5.3%. And job ads, job vacancies and employment surveys have also been solid. (While job vacancies growth slowed to 0.6% in the …

Weekly Market Update 5 October 2018

Weekly Market Update 5 October 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets fell over the last week, largely in response to a renewed rise in bond yields. Commodity prices rose, although this was mainly due to higher oil prices. Strong US economic data and some rise in expectations for Fed tightening saw the $US rise and this saw the $A fall below $US0.71. Bond yields have resumed their rising trend, with …

Six forces driving Australian equity portfolio returns

Six forces driving Australian equity portfolio returns We are now in the late stage of the business cycle when a range of risks and opportunities are being thrown up at Australian equity investors. These reflect changes in fast-moving global markets, domestic policy choices and the evolving priorities of local businesses. These changes will create exciting opportunities for some Australian companies but throw up challenges for others. 1. The global economy is becoming more volatile The …