Weekly Market Update 22 February 2019

Weekly Market Update 22 February 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While US shares were little changed over the last week other major markets saw solid gains helped by good news on trade. This included Australian shares which got a further lift from reasonable earnings results, more talk of rate cuts and upgrades to earnings growth expectations for resources stocks on the back of higher commodity prices. Bond yields were flat to …

Weekly Market Update 15 February 2019

Weekly Market Update 15 February 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rose over the last week helped by optimism on US/China trade talks, progress towards averting a renewed partial government shutdown in the US along with okay earnings results. Australian shares were little changed having outperformed sharply in the previous. Bond yields were little changed. The oil price rose but metal and iron ore prices fell. The $A was …

Weekly Market Update 18 January 2019

Weekly Market Update 18 January 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets continued to rise over the last week helped by talk of policy stimulus (notably in China) and optimism of a resolution to the US/China trade dispute. Bond yields rose in the US but were little changed elsewhere, commodity prices including oil rose and the $US rose slightly which saw the $A fall slightly. After a great rally since Christmas …

Weekly Market Update 11 January 2019

Weekly Market Update 11 January 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Since our last weekly update three weeks ago investment markets have been on a bit of a roller coaster ride, with Santa missing Christmas for markets but arriving the day after. Global shares led by the US continued to plunge into Christmas as the US saw the start of a partial government shutdown taking the decline in the US share market …

Weekly Market Update 21 December 2018

Weekly Market Update 21 December 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw share markets fall further on the back of ongoing worries about growth not helped by a “not dovish enough” Fed, a lack of new measures to address China’s slowdown in a speech by President Xi Jinping, threats to US/Chinese negotiations, worries about a US government shutdown, a court ruling against America’s Affordable Care Act and problems at …

Weekly Market Update 14 December 2018

Weekly Market Update 14 December 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with nervousness around trade and global growth continuing, not helped by weak Chinese economic data. US, Eurozone and Chinese shares rose but Japanese and Australian shares fell. Despite a rise in material stocks over the last week the Australian share market was particularly dragged down by telcos, consumer staples, utilities and financials – …

The Australian economy 2019 – house prices, growth and interest rates

The Australian economy 2019 – house prices, growth and interest rates   Key points Australian growth has slowed again. The housing cycle downturn and its impact on the economy will likely see growth constrained to around 2.5-3%.   LAs a result, spare capacity is likely to remain significant, keeping wages growth and inflation low.   The RBA is likely to cut rates in 2019 and the housing downturn will likely see Australian shares continue to …

Weekly Market Update 7 December 2018

Weekly Market Update 7 December 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week has been a roller coaster ride in equity markets. Shares initially rose on the positive outcome from the Trump/Xi meeting. Then they plunged in a panic as investors lost faith in what Trump claimed was agreed, the arrest of a senior Huawei executive in relation to a possible violation of sanctions on Iran raised concerns it will threaten …

Weekly Market Update 30 November 2018

Weekly Market Update 30 November 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week US, European and Japanese share markets rose solidly over the last week on increasing signs from the Fed that it is open to pausing or slowing its interest rate increases. Chinese shares rose slightly but Australian shares fell slightly. Weakness in resources, consumer, utility and real estate shares weighed heavily on the Australian share market over the last week offsetting gains …

Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares

Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares Key points The pullback in shares could still have further to go but a deep (grizzly) bear market is unlikely as US, global or Australian recession are unlikely. Increasing US Federal Reserve openness to a pause in raising rates, the likelihood of a US/China trade deal sometime in the next six months and the plunge in oil prices all add to confidence that a grizzly bear market …